Laboratory of Computational Biology and Risk Analysis, National
Institute of Environmental Sciences, Research Triangle Park, North
Carolina
A biologically based mathematical model was created to characterize
time and dose-dependent relationships between exposure to nitrite and
induction of methemoglobinemia. The model includes mass action
equations for processes known to occur: oral absorption of nitrite,
elimination from the plasma, partitioning between plasma and
erythrocytes, binding of nitrite to hemoglobin and methemoglobin, and
the free radical chain reaction for hemoglobin oxidation. The model
also includes Michaelis-Menten kinetics for methemoglobin
reductase-catalyzed regeneration of hemoglobin. Body weight-scaled rate
constants for absorption (ka) and
elimination (ke), the effective
erythrocyte/plasma partition coefficient (P), and the
apparent Km for methemoglobin reductase were
the only parameters estimated by formal optimization to reproduce the
observed time course data. Time courses of plasma nitrite
concentrations and blood levels of hemoglobin and methemoglobin in male
and female rats that had received single intravenous or oral doses of
sodium nitrite were measured. Peak plasma levels of nitrite were
achieved in both sexes approximately 30 min after oral exposure, and
peak methemoglobin levels were achieved after 100 min. The model
predicts that 10% of the hemoglobin is oxidized to the ferric form
after oral doses of 15.9 mg/kg in male rats and 11.0 mg/kg in female rats and after intravenous doses of 8.9 and 7.1 mg/kg in male and
female rats, respectively. The t1/2 for
recovery from methemoglobinemia was 60 to 120 min depending on dose and
route of administration. A sensitivity analysis of the model was
performed to identify to which parameters the predictions of the model
were most sensitive and guide attempts to simplify the model.
Replacement of the Vmax of methemoglobin
reductase with a value representative of humans predicted a 10%
methemoglobinemia following an intravenous dose of 5.8 mg/kg, in close
agreement with an observed value of 5.7 mg/kg for humans.
 |
Introduction |
Sodium nitrite is an inorganic salt used in the
manufacture of dyes, treatment of textiles, and curing of meat. It is
also produced from nitrate in ingested food by bacteria in the
gastrointestinal tract. Mice (Smith et al., 1967
) and rats (Imaizumi et
al., 1980
; Hirneth and Classen, 1984
) exposed to sodium nitrite achieve
elevated concentrations of (ferric) methemoglobin in their blood.
Unlike the ferrous form of hemoglobin, methemoglobin does not bind
oxygen strongly. The oxidation of oxyhemoglobin by nitrite to produce methemoglobin is a complex process that has been characterized by a lag
phase followed by an autocatalytic phase (Kosaka and Tyuma, 1987
;
Spagnuolo et al., 1987
). These phases reflect the requirement for
accumulation of reactive intermediates in the oxidative mechanism. The
reduction of methemoglobin to its oxygen transporting ferrous form is
catalyzed by red blood cell methemoglobin reductase (Stolk and Smith,
1966
), the enzyme that normally prevents accumulation of methemoglobin
resulting from spontaneous oxidation of hemoglobin. Figure
1 depicts the scheme for nitrite
disposition, induction of methemoglobinemia by the free radical chain
reaction, and the recovery by reduction to ferrous hemoglobin.
Binding of nitrite to oxyhemoglobin displaces the bound oxygen and
yields methemoglobin, hydrogen peroxide, and nitrogen dioxide in a free
radical chain initiation step. The nitrogen dioxide oxidizes ferrous
hemoglobin to methemoglobin, whereas hydrogen peroxide oxidizes
methemoglobin to a ferryl hemoglobin radical. Reaction of ferryl
hemoglobin with nitrite also produces methemoglobin and nitrogen
dioxide. These last two reactions are the free radical chain
propagation steps. Disproportionation of two nitrogen dioxide radicals
produces a nitrate anion, regenerates a nitrite anion, and constitutes
the free radical chain termination step. Figure 1 shows the reaction
steps in this oxidative mechanism.
The goals of the modeling were to
| 1. |
Fit a biologically realistic model to the experimentally
observed time courses of plasma nitrite, hemoglobin, and methemoglobin based on current knowledge of the mechanism of induction and recovery from methemoglobinemia;
|
| 2. |
Identify to which parameters the computed time courses are most
sensitive;
|
| 3. |
Determine if eliminating steps in the model based on
information obtained from the sensitivity analysis can still lead to a
good fit to the data.
|
The modeling procedure itself should reveal the biological
processes in which kinetics are inadequately characterized, thus providing guidance for future research.
Elevated levels of methemoglobin can lead to anemic hypoxia, a
condition in which there is inadequate supply of oxygen to tissues.
Hypoxia may result in cyanotic effects such as smooth muscle
relaxation. Cyanosis and smooth muscle relaxation were observed in rats
given 1500 ppm or greater concentrations of sodium nitrate in their
drinking water (National Toxicology Program, 2001
). This exposure
provided an average daily dose of approximately 130 mg/kg body weight
and, depending on the time of day when measurements were made,
induction of as much as 22% methemoglobinemia. Higher levels of
methemoglobin were obtained after a single gavage administration of the
same daily dose of sodium nitrite.
To predict the risk of methemoglobinemia in humans exposed to sodium
nitrite based on effects observed in rodents, a mathematical model of
the kinetics of nitrite distribution and clearance and of hemoglobin
oxidation and methemoglobin reduction in rats was constructed. A model
structure that accurately represents the processes controlling nitrite
disposition and methemoglobinemia in rodents may be applicable to
nitrite-induced methemoglobinemia in humans by replacing
rodent-specific biological parameter values with those for humans. Rats
exposed to sodium nitrite in drinking water developed cyanosis and
smooth muscle relaxation (National Toxicology Program, 2001
),
indicating that this species may be a good model for human responses.
The model structure was based on current knowledge of the mechanism of
nitrite-induced methemoglobinemia. Unmeasured parameters were estimated
by fitting time courses of plasma nitrite, hemoglobin, and
methemoglobin concentrations in male and female Fischer 344 rats
following single intravenous and oral doses of sodium nitrite.
 |
Experimental Procedures |
Animal handling and dosing have been previously reported
(Midwest Research Institute, 1995b
). Plasma nitrite and hemoglobin were
determined by previously validated methods (Midwest Research Institute,
1995a
). Time course data for nitrite and methemoglobin were obtained
under NIEHS1
contract no. N01-ES-15306 to provide data for the construction of this
model. The data have been archived at NIEHS and can be retrieved from
NIEHS Central Data Management (919-541-5419, voice; 919-541-3687, fax;
CDM{at}niehs.nih.gov, e-mail) by using the contract number. Animal care
and treatment were performed in compliance with the good laboratory
practice regulations of the US Food and Drug Administration (21 CFR 58)
and the Guide for the Care and Use of Laboratory Animals
(National Institutes of Health publication no. 86-23).
Treatment of Animals.
Twelve-week old Fischer 344 rats, 55 of each sex (Charles River
Laboratories Inc., Wilmington, MA), were individually housed in
polycarbonate cages and maintained at 70 to 79°F on a daily 12-h
light/dark cycle. After a 2-week quarantine, sodium nitrite (J. T. Baker, Phillipsburg, NJ) in deionized water was administered by lateral
tail vein injection at 20 mg/kg body weight (2 ml/kg dosing volume) or
by oral gavage at 40 and 80 mg/kg (5 ml/kg dosing volume). At each time
point, blood (0.5 ml) was collected from three animals of each sex via
the retro-orbital sinus and placed into microcentrifuge tubes
containing heparin. Each animal was bled twice, under anesthesia at
separate time points via alternating orbital sinuses. Rats were bled at
various time points up to 120 min after an intravenous dose and up to
600 min after oral doses.
Measurement of Plasma Nitrite.
Plasma nitrite concentrations were determined spectrophotometrically.
Plasma was prepared by centrifugation of fresh blood samples for 10 min
at 2000 rpm. Aliquots of diluted plasma, as well as sodium nitrite
standards prepared in water, were mixed with potassium ferricyanide and
zinc sulfate and then centrifuged and filtered. Aliquots of the
filtrate were mixed with an equal volume of a solution containing 0.6%
sulfanilamide and 0.12% N-(1-naphthyl)-ethylenediamine dihydrochloride in water. The absorbances of these solutions were read
after 15 min at 530 nm. Nitrite concentrations in the plasma samples
were estimated from a weighted regression curve of the sodium nitrite standards.
Measurement of Hemoglobin.
Aliquots of fresh blood were hemolyzed in water (1:5.5, v/v). After 3 min, phosphate buffer was added, and the samples were centrifuged at
14,000 rpm for 15 min. Measurements of methemoglobin and total
hemoglobin concentrations in hemolysates were based on the absorbance
of methemoglobin at 630 nm. Addition of cyanide eliminates the
contribution of methemoglobin to the absorbance at 630 nm.
Methemoglobin standards and blood samples were treated similarly to
relate absorbance values to methemoglobin concentration.
For the measurement of methemoglobin, the absorbance of the hemolysate
at 630 nm was first determined in the absence of cyanide. To 100 µl
of the hemolysate was added 50 µl of a neutralized cyanide solution
containing 5.3% w/v sodium cyanide and 5.6% v/v acetic acid, and the
absorbance of the cyanide-treated sample was reread at 630 nm. The
absorbance in the absence of cyanide minus that in the presence of
cyanide is a measure of the conversion of methemoglobin in the sample
to cyanomethemoglobin. Total hemoglobin in the hemolysate was
determined by oxidizing all of the heme protein to methemoglobin with
potassium ferricyanide (0.1% in phosphate buffer) and recording the
absorbance at 630 nm. Cyanide solution was added, and the absorbance at
630 nm was recorded again. The difference in absorbance between these
samples reflects the total concentration of hemoglobin in the hemolysate.
Modeling Strategy.
Modeling the chemical consequences of nitrite exposure involved
kinetics for absorption of an oral dose, elimination of nitrite from
blood, and oxidation of hemoglobin by nitrite and by nitrogen dioxide
(Fig. 1). Absorption of nitrite was represented as occurring from the
stomach (kabs) because the plasma
nitrite concentration reaches its highest value within 25 min following
gavage, and the time to empty a rat's stomach is about 2 h (Encke
et al., 1989
). If absorption of nitrite from the stomach is a saturable process (see below), the uptake rate at concentrations below the apparent Km (in which linear kinetics
are adequate) is approximated by
where ktransport is the
turnover of the transporter, CT is the
concentration of transporter (number of transporters per stomach volume), A is the anion concentration in the stomach lumen,
and Km is the apparent
Km for transport. If the
two-dimensional density D of anion transporters in the
gastric epithelium is the same for males and females, the effective
concentration of transporters is given by
where S is the surface area, and V is the
stomach lumen volume. Assuming the surface area is proportional to the
2/3 power of body weight W, the effective concentration of
transporters is inversely proportional to W
0.3. At subsaturating concentrations of the
anion, the absorption rate constant is approximately
where the scaled rate constant for absorption,
ka, is independent of sex. The plasma
volume, 2.97% of body weight (Delp et al., 1991
; Davies and Morris,
1993
), is 3.3 times the volume of the stomach lumen, 0.91% of body
weight (Roth et al., 1993
). Therefore, an amount of nitrite taken up
from the stomach increases the plasma concentration only 0.3 times as
much as it decreases the stomach lumen concentration. This was taken
into account by multiplying vuptake in the
expansion for the time derivative of the plasma nitrite concentration
(see Appendix) by the ratio of the stomach lumen volume to the plasma volume.
Alternatively, in the acidic environment of the stomach, nitrite is
protonated to nitrous acid, which could passively diffuse across the
stomach wall. However, other anions (e.g.,
SO42
) are absorbed from the gut by a
charge-compensated (cotransport with Na+) carrier (Stein
and Lieb, 1986
), and this mechanism does not account for the sex
difference in specific absorption rate. The requirement for different
parameter values for males and females was most simply attributed to
differences in body weight. Males weighed about 255 g, and females
weighed about 165 g. Other reasons for the sex difference are much
more speculative and would have to assume the existence of unknown processes.
The major pathway for elimination of nitrite is transport into tissues
in which it is oxidized to nitrate, although some nitrite is excreted
in urine unchanged. This process is in addition to partitioning of
nitrite into erythrocytes. If, by analogy to the uptake of other
inorganic anions, the peripheral tissue transport rate is
carrier-mediated and saturable, at plasma concentrations below the
effective Km, the rate is approximated by
where Ctotat is the total
carrier activity, Km is the apparent
Km of the process, and A is
the plasma nitrite concentration. As the total carrier activity
increases with the weight of the peripheral tissues, the elimination
rate constant should be proportional to body weight.
where the scaled rate constant for elimination,
ke, is independent of sex.
To further reduce the number of adjustable parameters in the model, the
equilibrium constant for dissociation of the nitrite-hemoglobin complex
was estimated from literature data for the release of oxygen from
erythrocyte oxyhemoglobin in the presence of sodium nitrite (Smith,
1970
). The estimated value is 17.5 mM. The dissociation constant for
the nitrite-methemoglobin complex at pH 7.4 was reported to be in the
range 2.6 to 3.4 mM (Smith, 1967
; Kosaka et al., 1979
), but these
values may be too large because of interfering reactions (Smith, 1967
).
Therefore, the lowest reported value, 2.6 mM (Smith, 1967
), was used in
the model. As binding of nitrite to methemoglobin (not accounted for by
the partitioning into erythrocytes) does not exhibit cooperativity
(Kosaka et al., 1979
), the reactions at each heme were treated as independent.
The rate constants for the autocatalytic oxidation of hemoglobin used
in the model were previously determined (Spagnuolo et al., 1987
) by a
statistical fit to observed time courses for the oxidation of
hemoglobin by nitrite in homogeneous media. These parameters include
rate constants for pseudo first-order reduction of the displaced oxygen
by nitrite (k1 = 0.048 min
1), oxidation of ferrous hemoglobin to
methemoglobin by nitrogen dioxide (k2 = 14.4 mM
1 min
1),
oxidation of methemoglobin to ferryl hemoglobin by hydrogen peroxide
(k3 = 18 mM
1
min
1), reduction of ferryl hemoglobin to
methemoglobin by nitrite and generation of nitrogen dioxide
(k4 = 4.8 × 104 mM
1
min
1), and the chain termination
disproportionation of nitrogen dioxide to nitrite and nitrate
(k5 = 0.048 min
1). The rate constants,
k3 and
k4, characterize the kinetics of the
autocatalytic phase.
When nitrite was represented as uniformly distributed between plasma
and erythrocytes, the measured rate constants
(k1-k5) greatly under-predicted methemoglobin formation. Methemoglobin formation is not limited by uptake of nitrite into the erythrocytes (Zavodink et al., 1999
), suggesting that nitrite may be actively taken
up into erythrocytes, perhaps in exchange for bicarbonate (Shingles et
al., 1997
). A first-order rate constant of 12.24 min
1 was calculated from the measured rate of
transport of nitrite in erythrocytes (Shingles et al., 1997
). As the
kinetic mechanism for nitrite transport across the erythrocyte membrane
is unknown, this process was represented as a net partitioning between
the two compartments, the effective equilibrium constant
P = CRBC/Cplasma was an adjustable parameter.
Similar to the case of uptake of nitrite from the stomach, the rate of
transport had to be corrected for the different volumes of plasma (55%
of blood) and erythrocytes (45% of blood). That is, the time
derivative of plasma nitrite entering the red blood cell had to be
multiplied by the ratio of plasma volume to erythrocyte volume. The
correction for nitrite exiting from the red blood cell is the inverse
of this ratio (see Appendix).
Systematic deviations between the observed time course data and those
predicted by a model with simplified kinetics for oxidation (see below)
suggested that methemoglobin reduction is a saturable process.
Therefore, a Michaelis-Menten equation was used instead of an effective
first-order rate constant for methemoglobin reductase activity. The
maximal velocity of methemoglobin reductase was reported as 1.8 nmole/min/mg Hb (Hagler et al., 1981
). Using 158 g Hb/liter blood
gives a Vmax of 0.635 mM/min as heme
groups. The model treats each heme as independent, but the hemoglobin tetramer is actually bound to the reductase. Therefore, the
concentration of heme units is divided by 4 in the rate equation for
the reductase (see Appendix). The apparent
Km of the reductase was an adjustable parameter in the expanded model. It should be noted that of the 16 constants in the model, only four were adjustable parameters.
Equations for this model (see Appendix) were implemented in SCoP
(Kootsey et al., 1986
; Kohn et al., 1994
). The above rate and equilibrium constants were estimated by least-squares optimization using the SCoPfit program (part of the SCoP package, Simulation Resources Inc., Redlands, CA). Values for P,
ka,
ke, and the
Km of methemoglobin reductase were
estimated by least-squares optimization to reproduce simultaneously the
observed time courses of plasma nitrite, hemoglobin, and methemoglobin
in male and female rats following intravenous and gavage doses of
sodium nitrite. The basal hemoglobin oxidation rate was dynamically
calculated to maintain a steady state concentration of methemoglobin
(1.2%) in unexposed rats.
 |
Results |
The observed and computed time courses of nitrite, hemoglobin, and
methemoglobin following a single intravenous administration are given
in Fig. 2. The corresponding curves for
low- and high-dose gavage experiments are given in Figs.
3 and 4,
respectively. Some of the deviation of the simulation results from the
data are due to the fact that the sum of measured hemoglobin and
methemoglobin concentrations is slightly different at several time
points, whereas the model forces the maintenance of conservation of
mass. Although males were approximately 60% larger than females,
scaling the rate constants for absorption and elimination by body
weight resulted in an accuracy of fit to the data comparable with that
obtained by allowing different values for each sex.
The fit to the data has excellent statistical properties. The standard
error of estimate (3.59) is about 25% of the data values, comparable
with the variation among replicate measurements. The optimal parameter
values and their standard deviations for absorption and elimination of
nitrite, the partitioning of nitrite between plasma and red blood
cells, and the Km for methemoglobin
reductase are given in Table 1. The
standard deviations are about 1 to 6% of the parameter values.
Repeated optimizations from widely different initial parameter
estimates all converged to the same solution, indicating the uniqueness
of these values.
The rapid decline in plasma nitrite after intravenous injection is due
to transport of nitrite into erythrocytes where it can bind to
hemoglobin, transport of nitrite into tissues where it may be oxidized
to nitrate, and excretion of nitrite into the urine. The model predicts
10% conversion of ferrous hemoglobin to methemoglobin after
intravenous doses of 8.9 and 7.1 mg/kg for male and female rats,
respectively. Recovery from methemoglobinemia is dependent largely on
the kinetics of methemoglobin reductase. The predicted
t1/2 for recovery is about 60 min
after an intravenous dose of 20 mg/kg.
Following oral exposure, peak plasma levels of nitrite are achieved in
approximately 25 min. At this time after oral doses of 40 and 80 mg/kg,
plasma nitrite is predicted to be 0.11 and 0.22 mM, respectively, for
males and 0.15 and 0.30 mM, respectively, for females. At this same
time following the same doses, erythrocyte unbound nitrite is predicted
to be 1.7 and 3.2 mM, respectively, for males and 2.3 and 45 mM,
respectively, for females. The ratio of erythrocyte to plasma nitrite
is 15 at all doses studied. Methemoglobin achieves its maximal
concentration nearly 80 min after nitrite levels have peaked. The model
predicts 10% conversion to methemoglobin after oral doses of 15.9 and
11.0 mg/kg in male and female rats, respectively. The predicted
t1/2 for recovery from
methemoglobinemia in these studies is 90 to 100 (male-female) and 100 to 120 (male-female) min after oral doses of 40 and 80 mg/kg, respectively.
To identify to which parameters the behavior of the model is most
sensitive, a full sensitivity analysis, a well known technique used in
engineering (Frank, 1978
), of the model was performed with SCoPfit.
Sensitivity was expressed as the fractional deviation of a computed
concentration with respect to a fractional change in a parameter value.
where Ci is the computed
concentration and pj is the parameter
value. The sensitivity coefficients were evaluated when methemoglobin concentration was maximal in the simulation (i.e., at 30 and 100 min
after intravenous or oral administration of sodium nitrite, respectively).
Table 2 shows the most significant
relative sensitivities of methemoglobin formation to parameter
variations following intravenous administration. The sensitivity to
Vmax of methemoglobin reductase (not
shown) is approximately the negative of the sensitivity to the
Km because these two parameters are
correlated. The computed concentrations of methemoglobin are most
sensitive to the value of the rate constant for the free radical chain
initiation reaction (k1 in Fig. 1) but
not to the other rate constants in the autocatalytic mechanism.
Sensitivity of the computed concentrations of methemoglobin to the
other parameter values followed the order
ke > P > Km. The sensitivities to variations in
other parameters are 2 orders of magnitude smaller than the values in
Table 2.
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TABLE 2
Relative sensitivity of predicted methemoglobin accumulation to
parameter variations 30 min after intravenous administration of 20 mg
NaNO2/kg body weight to Fischer 344 rats
|
|
Sensitivities of methemoglobin concentrations to parameter variations
after oral administration followed the order
k1
ke
P > ka
Km
(Table 3). The
computed plasma nitrite concentration at 30 min following intravenous
administration and 100 min following oral administration is sensitive
mainly to ke (Table
4). The sensitivity to
ka (for oral dosing) is about 85%
smaller. The sensitivities with respect to other parameters are at
least an order of magnitude smaller.
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TABLE 3
Relative sensitivity of predicted methemoglobin accumulation to
parameter variations 100 min after oral administration of 40 and 80 mg
NaNO2/kg body weight to Fischer 344 rats
|
|
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TABLE 4
Relative sensitivity of predicted plasma nitrite concentration to
variation of the elimination (ke) and absorption (ka)
rate constants following intravenous and oral administration of sodium
nitrite to Fischer 344 rats
|
|
 |
Discussion |
The disposition of sodium nitrite following intravenous and oral
administration was studied by computer simulation with a model that
accounts for all reactions known to be involved in production of
(ferric) methemoglobin and its reduction to (ferrous) hemoglobin. Only
4 of the 16 constants in the model had to be estimated by formal
optimization to enable the model to fit the experimental data.
Optimizations commencing from different guesses for the parameter
values all converged to the same optimum, and the estimated parameter
values had small confidence limits.
The ability of the model to fit the data with absorption and
elimination rate constants scaled for body weight suggests that there
is no qualitative difference in disposition of nitrite between the
sexes. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the computed behavior
depends on parameters for distribution (P,
ka, and
ke) as much as on parameters for blood
biochemistry (Km and
k1). It is noteworthy that the
behavior of the model is insensitive to variations in the dissociation
constants for the nitrite complexes of hemoglobin and methemoglobin. As
there is considerable uncertainty in these values, the lack of
sensitivity increases confidence in the simulation. The lack of
sensitivity of the computed nitrite and methemoglobin concentrations to
the rate constant for transport of nitrite across the erythrocyte
membrane also indicates that the model is robust, but the behavior of
the model is sensitive to the apparent erythrocyte/plasma partition coefficient.
The lack of mechanistic and kinetic data on the absorption,
partitioning, and elimination of nitrite required the use of
first-order kinetics for these processes in the present model. The
model identifies research areas where additional data are needed on
critical processes that regulate nitrite disposition and induction of
methemoglobinemia. For example, uptake of nitrite after oral exposure
needs to be characterized. Transport of inorganic anions such as
phosphate or bisulfate in the epithelia of the gastrointestinal tract
is accomplished by cotransport with a sodium ion (Stein and Lieb, 1986
). If nitrite is similarly transported, first-order kinetics may
not be an adequate approximation. Similarly, elimination by uptake into
tissues was represented as a first-order process. The partitioning of
nitrite into peripheral tissues and its oxidation to nitrate is likely
to be carrier-mediated as well (Stein and Lieb, 1986
) and needs to be
characterized. Measurement of the kinetics of methemoglobin reductase
in rats would remove another parameter from the optimization and
increase the reliability of the model.
Partitioning of nitrite between plasma and erythrocytes was treated as
a passive equilibrium in this model, but the kinetics of nitrite
transport across the erythrocyte membrane should be measured. If
nitrite accumulates in red cells against the concentration gradient
predicted by the present model, a more complex charge-compensated transport mechanism may be involved. The high estimated partition coefficient is consistent with an active transport process.
The methemoglobin concentration is maximal much later than that of
plasma nitrite. This condition arises because the free radical
autocatalytic mechanism continues to generate methemoglobin while
nitrite levels are rapidly diminishing. This process depends on the
concentration of H2O2,
which is consumed by erythrocyte catalase (Spagnuolo et al., 1987
), the
activity of which was measured as 2.82 µM/min (DeMaster et al.,
1986
). The Km of this enzyme is 25 mM
(Lehninger, 1975
). The model predicts a maximal
H2O2 concentration of 70 µM 1 min after intravenous injection of nitrite and 6 to 12 µM
after gavage (depending on dose and sex). As these values are far below
the Km, the reaction is approximately
first order with a rate constant of 1.13 × 10
4 min
1, orders of
magnitude smaller than for the other oxidative reactions. The very
small predicted rate for catalase justifies the neglect of this
enzymatic activity in the model.
Because the sensitivity analysis indicated that only the chain
initiation step of the hemoglobin oxidation mechanism strongly influenced the predictions of the model, the full oxidation cycle was
represented by only an initiation step and a single autocatalytic step,
the rate constants of which were adjustable parameters. To get a fit
with a residual error comparable to that of the full model, separate
first-order rate constants for absorption and elimination were required
for males and females. Also, the dissociation constants for the (met)
hemoglobin complexes with nitrite had to be adjustable. This increased
the number of adjustable parameters (from four to eight), and the
optimization was numerically unstable.
The fit of the reduced model to the experimental data exhibited several
defects, especially systematic deviations between the predictions of
the model and the observed blood time course data for methemoglobin,
hemoglobin, and plasma nitrite concentrations. A wide range of
parameter values produced similar fits to the data, indicating that the
data were insufficient to uniquely identify so many parameter values.
The standard deviations computed for four of the parameters were
extremely large. For example, the optimal
kabs for male rats was 0.009 ± 6.9 min
1, indicating a poorly determined value
for that parameter. Even worse, this simplification ignores data in the
literature, which characterize the known chemistry.
The equations in this model are reasonable approximations for the
kinetics of processes known to occur. Values for most of the constants
in this model (75%) are fixed by independent experimental data. Use of
ad hoc empirical models (Jusko and Ko, 1994
) that do not represent the
actual processes involved in methemoglobinemia would ignore these
independent data and require the estimation of many more parameters
than in the present model. Although an empirical model could summarize
the relationships among the variables in an accessible way, the loss of
realism would limit the insights that could be obtained from the simulation.
Parameter values for humans are required to extrapolate the predicted
methemoglobinemia to humans. The kinetics of absorption, elimination,
and methemoglobin reductase would have to be measured in humans. Other
parameters in the model are likely to be properties of the chemistry
(oxidative rate constants, nitrite dissociation constants) and not
species specific. Despite these limitations, the rat model can be
adapted to predict human responses to sodium nitrite. A body weight of
70 kg was assumed. The value of ke was adjusted (0.022 min
1
kg
1) such that
kelim was the same as that calculated
for male rats (1.54 min
1). The
Vmax for methemoglobin reductase was
reduced by 80% to match the enzymatic activity determined for humans
(Stolk and Smith, 1966
). When the response to an intravenous dose of 20 mg/kg sodium nitrate was tested, the resulting model reproduced the data for rats given that dose. The "human" model predicts
conversion of 10% of the hemoglobin to the ferric form following
intravenous injection of 7 mg NaNO2/kg. Oxidation
of 10% of the hemoglobin was observed in a human subject after
injection of 0.4 g sodium nitrite (Chen and Rose, 1952
). Assuming
a body weight of 70 kg, this dose corresponds to 5.71 mg/kg, close to
the predicted value. Although this estimate is based on a reported
value in a single individual, this result indicates that the structure
of this model is suitable for predicting methemoglobinemia in humans.
Much more experimental data would be necessary to determine a range and distribution of human responses. Based on the results presented here,
it appears that scaling the nitrite absorption and elimination rate
constants to body weight and using measured methemoglobin reductase
activity may provide reasonable estimates of the time courses of
nitrite-induced methemoglobinemia in adults as well as in infants and children.
Adult male humans exposed to the above intravenous doses were predicted
to achieve a near steady state of methemoglobin in less than 25 min.
The predicted half-time for recovery exceeds 6 h. The slower
recovery in humans compared with rats is due to lower methemoglobin
reductase activity and slower elimination of nitrite from plasma.
This exercise demonstrates how two common fallacies can easily mislead
a modeler. The first fallacy is that mathematically simplified models
are always preferred over more complex models. Although such
simplifications may be necessary when data are lacking, when results of
independent experiments are available to fix certain equations and
parameters (as is the case in this work), excessive simplification can
lead to inadequate models, the parameter values of which cannot be
reliably estimated because of ill conditioning. The other fallacy is
that, given enough parameters, you can make any model fit. The
properties of the reduced model demonstrate that this commonly held
notion is simply untrue.
Received November 20, 2001; accepted March 1, 2002.
Abbreviations used are:
NIEHS, National
Institute of Environmental Health Sciences.