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Received for publication April 8, 2005.
Revised October 10, 2005.
Accepted for publication October 11, 2005.
The routine assessment of xenobiotic in vivo
kinetic behaviour is currently dependent upon data
obtained through animal experimentation, although in
vitro surrogates for determining key absorption,
distribution, metabolism and elimination (ADME)
properties are available. Here we present a unique,
generic, physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK)
model, and demonstrate its application to the estimation
of rat plasma pharmacokinetics, following intravenous
dosing, from in vitro data alone. The model was
parameterized through an optimization process, employing
a training set of in vivo data taken from the
literature, and validated using a separate test set of
in vivo discovery compound data. On average, the
vertical divergence of the predicted plasma
concentrations from the observed data, on a semi-log
concentration-time plot, was approximately 0.5 log
units. Around 70% of all the predicted values of a
standardized measure of AUC were within threefold
of the observed values, as were over 90% of the training
set t
predictions and 60% of
those for the test set; however, there was a tendency to
over-predict t
for the test
set compounds. The capability of the model to rank
compounds according to a given criterion was also
assessed: of the 25% of the test set compounds ranked by
the model as having the largest values for AUC,
61% were correctly identified. These validation results
lead us to conclude that the generic PBPK model is
potentially a powerful and cost-effective tool for
predicting the mammalian pharmacokinetics of a wide
range of organic compounds, from readily-available in
vitro inputs only.
Key words:
computational models, computer modeling and simulation, in vitro-in vivo prediction, mathematical modeling, Monte Carlo simulations, pharmacokinetic modeling, physiologically-based modeling, physiologically-based pharmacokinetics
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